Indecision Is the Silent Killer of Enterprise Value
- Tawni Nguyen
- 10 hours ago
- 3 min read
Every founder knows the feeling, stuck between planning and execution, waiting for the “right moment” while competitors move faster and cheaper.
Every quarter you spend “thinking about it” instead of executing, your value erodes quietly. Buyers can smell hesitation. They price it in.
If your Q4 plan is to look busy instead of being profitable...those year-end spikes might fool your ego, but they don’t fool buyers.
Money loves speed. So let's talk about the illusion of growth.
Every founder knows the dance.
Discounts fly. Invoices get pulled forward. Expenses get pushed to January. Anything to make the year-end books look stronger.
But here’s the hard truth: buyers don’t buy the story — they buy the substance (more sales, more cash, bigger bottom line).
And this market? It rewards execution, not theatrics.
The market rewards action — not another meeting, not another spreadsheet.
While some owners are still “strategizing,” others are moving fast, cleaning books, tightening systems, and integrating AI — and they’re the ones buyers chase first.
The Founder’s Trap: Growth for Ego, Not for Enterprise Value
Founders equate a big number on the top line with success.
It feels good. It looks good. It’s easy to post about.
But buyers aren’t impressed by motion — they’re hunting for momentum they can trust.
We’ve reviewed companies posting record years that are actually more fragile than ever:
Revenue spikes fueled by discounts that kill margin.
New product launches that spread the team too thin.
Over hiring without process — SG&A ballooned, no profit.
Owners pulling rabbits out of hats to “hit the number.”
That’s not strength.
That’s ego math.
And ego math doesn’t survive diligence.
The Market Has Shifted — and It’s Not on Your Side
Interest rates are still high. Deal cycles are slow. Buyers have leverage again.
They’re digging deeper, asking harder questions, and normalizing every inflated number.
Across lower middle market construction and manufacturing services, average multiples have slid nearly 20% since 2022, while earnouts now appear in 7 of 10 deals.
The illusion of growth doesn’t just fail to help you. It actively costs you millions.
The Buyer’s POV: How They Read Your Numbers
You might see “momentum.” They see risk.
What You See | What Buyers See |
Year-end discount blitz | Margin erosion, artificial spike |
Delayed expenses | Normalized EBITDA — instantly adjusted |
Hiring to look “bigger” | Bloat without process |
Revenue surge | One-time event, not repeatable growth |
Owner doing everything | Zero scalability, earnout risk |
Buyers have pattern recognition and data don’t lie.
We’re working with a company right now that grew 40% this year.
On paper? It looks like a rocket ship. Under the hood? 80% of that growth was unprofitable.
Once we dug in — running AI-driven contribution analysis, automating quoting, and cutting non-performing lines — we found the real growth: profitable, durable, defensible.
That’s the kind buyers pay up for.
We’re not using AI to chase vanity metrics (like social media views with zero conversion).
We’re using it to strip away illusion and surface truth — the kind of truth that multiplies enterprise value.
Our AI dashboards now flag margin erosion in real time — cutting weeks off prep and exposing six-figure leaks before they hit the P&L. That’s what speed looks like.
Year-End Growth Games vs. Buyer Reality
Founder’s Year-End Play | What Buyers Actually See |
“Let’s discount to finish strong.” | Margin erosion, haircut on EBITDA. |
“We’ll push expenses into next year.” | Normalized EBITDA, credibility loss. |
“We’ll show a big topline spike.” | One-time event, not real demand. |
“Let’s hire fast to look bigger.” | Bloat, risk, no system. |
“Look at our marketing metrics!” | Vanity clicks, no pipeline proof. |
Indecision kills more deals than bad numbers. Because it signals fear. And fear doesn’t sell at a premium.
Execution creates clarity. Clarity creates confidence. Confidence creates valuation.
If a buyer opened your books today and stripped out every trick — would your business still look strong?
Because here’s the thing: Growth built on illusions doesn’t leave a legacy.
It leaves cleanup for the next owner and confusion for the team you leave behind.
Revenue fades. Reputation doesn’t.
When the dust settles, buyers remember who built value that lasted.
The smartest founders we work with aren’t chasing size anymore. They’re chasing simplicity, clarity, and profitability.
They’re replacing “grow bigger” with “grow better.”
That’s how you build a company buyers trust — and legacies that last.
So, what's your next move?
Before you pour champagne on December 31st, ask yourself:
Did you actually grow — or did you just move numbers around?
Money loves speed. Indecision kills.
Start executing now — before the market decides for you.
We’ll run a no-BS year-end audit and show you whether your growth story is convincing… or just smoke and mirrors.
